Who Do You Think Will Win the Iowa Caucus? And, Do You Really Care?

The pundits say it's down to three: Paul, Romney and Santorum. Here in Illinois, some are lining up behind Romney. But what do you think?

Happy Iowa Caucus Day.

They're expecting a higher 2012 turnout in Iowa than in 2008—maybe because it's anybody's ballgame. Here's a nice link to the Iowa Gazette Caucus 2012 page, where you can follow along as the day progresses. Polls should open around 7 p.m. our time and results flowing freely thereafter.

Here's an explanation of the process, courtesy of ABC News.

If you believe the pundits, it's a three-way race right now between Ron Paul, Mitt Romney and Rick Santorum. Newt Gingrich, Rick Perry and Michele Bachmann are making their last-minute push, and Jon Huntsman has kind of stood on the sidelines for this one.

Here at home in Illinois, The Daily Herald reports that Republicans Sen. Mark Kirk, Rep. Robert Dold and Rep. Judy Biggert all have backed Romney. U.S. Reps. Randy Hultgren, Joe Walsh and Peter Roskam are undecided. Our primary is March 20, in case you want to mark your calendar.

And if you listen to the Sunday-morning talk shows, the top three spots are the most important coming out of Iowa. 

Why is the Iowa Caucus important? We're glad you asked. And you can find more answers at history.howstuffworks.com. The main answer is that it's first.

People who weren't considered contenders suddenly have a shot if they do well in Iowa. This time around, it seems to be a big deal for Santorum, who's gaining momentum at the end, and for Gingrich, who had a freefall from grace this week after a bunch of negative ads.

But it's not "as Iowa goes, so goes the nation." The caucus has what the Chicago Tribune calls a "spotty track record" for picking a winner, but it does often separate the wheat from the chaff.

Jacqueline Gales January 05, 2012 at 09:15 PM
On one hand, I would say that Iowa doesn't really matter and it is all a big circus to start things off. They rarely pick the actual candidate. However, I am encouraged by the support for Ron Paul. I do not expect him to win but that many people showing up to support a candidate who clearly stands up for less government, real change, well, that is uplifting. Hopefully, the republicans will find a candidate with Paul's values and Mitt Romney's looks and personality, lol.
J Steen January 07, 2012 at 03:21 PM
Yes - that silly, fake "doctor" that's afraid of using a washroom in the home of a gay San Francisco supporter has MY VOTE ! Any "doctor" that is THAT ignorant about communicable diseases is TOP SHELF !!
Adam January 07, 2012 at 04:33 PM
The 2012 National Defense Authorization Act has now been passed into Law Authorizes the US Government to use US Military to imprisonment American Citizens who question the government’s political agenda, and detain them with no charges, or trial, indefinitely. Why is it that not one of the GOP (with the exception of Ron Paul) has made any statement regarding this? To me, all the other issues pale in comparision. Romney was asked 6 days ago what he thought and he stated that he would have to read it first???? Pretty sure the Nazis passed the same law in the 1930s
J Steen January 08, 2012 at 10:59 PM
Only problem with Mutt is that the RepubliKlan evangelical Taliban Baptists will NOT support a godless mormon cult member ! GO OBAMA 2012 !
J Steen January 14, 2012 at 12:56 PM
2012 will go down as the DEMOCRATIC PARTY MANDATE ELECTION YEAR when we take not only the White House but also both Houses of Congress and each statehouse in total repudiation of the greed and lies of the RepubliKlan Party - the folks who brought us bankruptcy, foreclosures, and moral decay...all in the name of satisfying their corporate masters. The RepubliKlan will be out of power for at least the next 30 years for the havoc they have visited upon our Nation by their greed. Write it on your calendars, kids.


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